While the addition of Nick Foles may not have significantly impacted the Chicago Bears’ chances of winning the Super Bowl, Foles himself is a top contender in the betting market. One well-known sportsbook has him listed as a contender for NFL Comeback Player of the Year.
Although William Hill has not yet begun operations in Illinois, their business thrives in other locations. Foles may not be the favorite, but he is not considered a long shot either.
Nick Foles is one of William Hill andrsquo’s finalists for the Comeback Award.
While William Hill Sportsbook has not yet obtained a marketplace access agreement in Illinois, it does provide legal wholesale wagering at four locations in Iowa. There is a possibility that this could expand to other states in the future.
Chicago’s newest quarterback, Nick Foles, is a contender for the Comeback Player of the Year award with odds of 16/1 (+1600), placing him ahead of only six other players as of the end of April.
- Rob Gronkowski plus 300
- 350 Ben Roethlisberger
- JJ Watt plus 600
- + 700 Matthew Stafford
- 800 Cody Green
- Newton + 1000
Foles has some precedent working in his favor, as the last two Comeback Player of the Year winners, Andrew Luck and Ryan Tannehill, also played quarterback.
Actually, six out of the last ten finalists were quarterbacks, and all of the winners from 2008 to 2013 were players.
There are several other players in the mix as well. Foles’ performance in both stats and helping the Bears win will greatly influence how many votes he gets compared to his competitors.
The main concern for gamblers is determining if now is the optimal moment to capitalize on this opportunity. The direction in which the odds will shift in the coming weeks regarding Foles will ultimately decide this.
Had + 1600 on Foles become as good as it will ever be?
There are several factors that could potentially decrease the likelihood of this scenario. However, if one of the six competitors ahead of Foles in this market were to suffer a significant injury, it could potentially improve Foles’ chances.
If Chicago and Foles have a strong training camp and start the regular season well, the same applies. However, the opposite is also true.
The speculation surrounding Foles will intensify if he gets injured or if the Bears face off in a battle. It is important to make several predictions now in order to assess the competition.
However, there is currently some empirical data showing potential benefits. Coach John DeFilippo, who previously worked with Foles in Jacksonville and Philadelphia, is now working with the Chicago team’s new quarterback.
During that period, they won a Super Bowl in 2017. Foles had an impressive postseason performance under DeFilippo’s guidance, achieving a QB rating of 115.7 and averaging over 300 passing yards per game.
The Bears have not made significant improvements to their offense, which ranked 28th in scoring last year when Foles was outside of the industry. However, this lack of changes may actually work in favor of Foles in this situation, with all due respect.
If Foles can increase the offensive output and lead Chicago to a successful record, it will be his performance that will be credited for making all the difference and potentially earning him this honor.
Most indicators suggest that the +1600 line will continue to decrease. It might be a good time to consider taking action if you are considering Foles in this market.